Oppenheim Delivers Visa Forecasts: Indian Wait Times To Increase Substantially

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Dec 13, 2019

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Oppenheim Indian EB5 visa forecasts that it may take up to 8 years

Charles Oppenheim, Chief of the Visa Control Office, U.S. Department of State, delivered new numbers on projected visa wait times.

The big news concerns India: For I-526 petitions filed now, Indians can expect an 8.4-year wait. This is a huge jump from the earlier 5.7-year projection. Also, India is likely to go into retrogression in late June or early July; their final action date should be between summer and fall 2017. An Indian’s priority date needs to be prior to that final action date for U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) to adjudicate an I-485 Adjustment of Status.

Other noteworthy projections include a wait time of 16.5 years for China, a bump from the previous number of 14 years. Wait times for Vietnam (7.6 years), South Korea (2.4), Taiwan (2), and Brazil (1.8) remain relatively similar to earlier projections. The rest of the world is “current” for the foreseeable future. For a summary of Oppenheim’s presentation read the Greenberg Traurig blog For a detailed explanation on calculating backlogs and why it’s uncertain see Suzanne Lazicki’s blog

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